Choose a Day

BOS ATL 2024-05-08 18:20 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
BOS000 000 0000870
ATL401 000 0051991

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
BOS0.80-0.61Nick Pivetta (R) 11.0-0.04
ATL0.420.11Chris Sale (L) 36.70

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
BOS0.3770.3621761760.357 - 0.377NA
ATL0.6670.681-213470.667 - 0.689NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
BOS0Chris Sale
-0=0
Relief ATL
-2.29=-2
ATL4.23Nick Pivetta
--0.04=4
Relief BOS
-0.27=4

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
BOS19186.434.6-7.0-6.1
ATL221214.422.64.01.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
BOS1819-0.2%-11.0%37
ATL21130.7%-18.6%34

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:20

details
BOS0.362NANANANANANA
ATL0.681NANANANANANA

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR
AWAYBOS0.050.041.333.210.03
HOMEATL10.85-0.050.160.14

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